ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

68.99%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

31.01%

Average Odds

2.07 / 1.70

Market probability

45.09% / 54.91%

Why This Prediction?

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1777 vs 1546), a higher Elo rating (1747 vs 1555) and a stronger return game (41.2% vs 37.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1747.1 Elo 1555.3

1777.1 Elo (surface) 1546.4

43 Wins (Challenger) 56

34 Wins (surface) 19

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.094 Dominance ratio 1.051

318 Rank 268

29.1 Age 23.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1st Serve In %

62.3%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #268

6-7 7-6 6-2

8 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 1

120 Service Points 118

72 First Serve In 78

50 First Serve Won 53

17 Second Serve Won 22

7 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Prediction