ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

17.05%

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

82.95%

Average Odds

4.71 / 1.16

Market probability

19.76% / 80.24%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1809 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1877 vs 1691) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1690.7 Elo 1876.5

1599.7 Elo (surface) 1809.3

45 Wins (Challenger) 72

10 Wins (surface) 61

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.044 Dominance ratio 1.055

304 Rank 151

29.2 Age 21.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

62.3%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0 – 0 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Nishesh Basavareddy #151

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #304

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

13 First Serve Won 15

11 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction