ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohm

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

94.15%

Linus Lagerbohm

Finland

5.85%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.93

Market probability

76.31% / 23.69%

Why This Prediction?

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1741 vs 1416), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1770 vs 1452) and more career match wins (42 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1741.1 Elo 1415.7

1770.3 Elo (surface) 1451.6

42 Wins (Challenger) 0

33 Wins (surface) 0

9 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.116 Dominance ratio 0.592

318 Rank 972

29.1 Age None

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Linus Lagerbohm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Linus Lagerbohm

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.42

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

57.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

39.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Linus Lagerbohm

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

44.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

54.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0 – 0 Linus Lagerbohm

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318

Linus Lagerbohm #972

4-6 6-4 6-3

4 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 2

93 Service Points 81

67 First Serve In 47

43 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohm — Prediction