ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Leonardo Rossi

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

82.45%

Leonardo Rossi

Italy

17.55%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.50

Market probability

79.37% / 20.63%

Why This Prediction?

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1465), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1761 vs 1495) and a stronger serve (63.2% vs 57.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1733.1 Elo 1464.8

1761.5 Elo (surface) 1495.2

41 Wins (Challenger) 5

32 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.068 Dominance ratio 0.804

318 Rank 609

29.1 Age 24.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Leonardo Rossi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Leonardo Rossi

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.42

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Leonardo Rossi

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

39.3%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0 – 0 Leonardo Rossi

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318

Leonardo Rossi #609

7-5 6-2

3 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 55

39 First Serve In 31

27 First Serve Won 18

11 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Leonardo Rossi — Prediction