ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · QF 19:00

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

50.21%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

49.79%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.84

Market probability

50.41% / 49.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1711.8 Elo 1697.2

1646.8 Elo (surface) 1631.1

47 Wins (Challenger) 100

12 Wins (surface) 23

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.044 Dominance ratio 0.802

324 Rank 200

29.3 Age 29.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

62.3%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Federico Agustin Gomez have never played each other.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction