ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Andrew Fenty

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

63.82%

Andrew Fenty

USA

36.18%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.29

Market probability

59.48% / 40.52%

Why This Prediction?

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1720 vs 1537), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1660 vs 1522) and a stronger return game (39.3% vs 34.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1720.0 Elo 1536.7

1659.6 Elo (surface) 1521.8

48 Wins (Challenger) 30

13 Wins (surface) 29

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.044 Dominance ratio 0.932

269 Rank 467

29.3 Age 26.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Andrew Fenty

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Andrew Fenty

1st Serve In %

62.3%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Andrew Fenty

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.9%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

57.1%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Andrew Fenty have never played each other.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Andrew Fenty — Prediction