ATP tennis predict — Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Alan Wazny

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

74.70%

Alan Wazny

Poland

25.30%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.71

Market probability

74.80% / 25.20%

Why This Prediction?

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1722 vs 1518), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1751 vs 1517) and more career match wins (40 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1722.4 Elo 1517.8

1751.1 Elo (surface) 1517.4

40 Wins (Challenger) 2

31 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.084 Dominance ratio 0.886

324 Rank 867

29.1 Age 19.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Alan Wazny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Alan Wazny

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.42

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Alan Wazny

Break Points Saved %

75.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

54.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0 – 0 Alan Wazny

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318

Alan Wazny #867

7-5 4-6 6-0

8 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

76 Service Points 100

57 First Serve In 55

40 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 21

0 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 18

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Alan Wazny — Prediction