ATP tennis predict — Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Ignacio Buse

Peru

42.40%

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

57.60%

Average Odds

2.40 / 1.55

Market probability

39.24% / 60.76%

Why This Prediction?

Zizou Bergs is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.2% vs 59.0% of service points won), more wins on hard courts (71 vs 13) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1845 vs 1813).

Player Comparison

1952.3 Elo 1938.1

1813.1 Elo (surface) 1844.6

41 Wins 113

13 Wins (surface) 71

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.869 Dominance ratio 1.065

36 Rank 39

22.5 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Zizou Bergs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Zizou Bergs

1st Serve In %

64.3%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

51.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

77.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.7%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Zizou Bergs

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs have never played each other.

Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs — Prediction