ATP tennis predict — Ignacio Buse vs Kilian Feldbausch

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · R16

Predicted probability

Ignacio Buse

Peru

53.92%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

46.08%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.79

Market probability

66.11% / 33.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1787.8 Elo 1746.3

1796.1 Elo (surface) 1749.6

34 Wins 5

24 Wins (surface) 5

10 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.861 Dominance ratio 0.963

35 Rank 284

22.3 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

64.0%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.7%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ignacio Buse 1 – 0 Kilian Feldbausch

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-22

R16

Ignacio Buse #35

Kilian Feldbausch #284

2-6 6-2 6-2

1 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 1

72 Service Points 76

59 First Serve In 40

33 First Serve Won 22

4 Second Serve Won 20

1 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 8

18 Winners 20

36 Unforced Errors 31

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Clay Santiago CH · 2025-03-10

R16

Ignacio Buse #227

Kilian Feldbausch #593

6-3 7-6(2)

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 5

87 Service Points 65

62 First Serve In 45

43 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 6

11 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ignacio Buse vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction