ATP tennis predict — Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Ignacio Buse

Peru

35.75%

Cameron Norrie

Great Britain

64.25%

Average Odds

2.74 / 1.45

Market probability

34.61% / 65.39%

Why This Prediction?

Cameron Norrie is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1775 vs 1595), more wins on hard courts (190 vs 7) and a stronger serve (65.6% vs 56.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1781.7 Elo 1761.6

1594.5 Elo (surface) 1774.6

35 Wins 301

7 Wins (surface) 190

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.740 Dominance ratio 1.189

33 Rank 37

22.4 Age 31.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Cameron Norrie

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Cameron Norrie

1st Serve In %

64.0%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.5%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.7%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

55.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ignacio Buse Cameron Norrie

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.7%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ignacio Buse 0 – 0 Cameron Norrie

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Cameron Norrie #37

Ignacio Buse #33

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 4

61 Service Points 51

26 First Serve In 35

16 First Serve Won 25

16 Second Serve Won 9

7 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 4

15 Winners 15

37 Unforced Errors 22

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie — Prediction