ATP tennis predict — Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

25.61%

Toby Samuel

Great Britain

74.39%

Average Odds

4.32 / 1.19

Market probability

21.60% / 78.40%

Why This Prediction?

Toby Samuel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1911 vs 1587), a higher Elo rating (1907 vs 1656) and more wins on hard courts (43 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1656.3 Elo 1907.5

1587.5 Elo (surface) 1910.7

105 Wins (Challenger) 48

29 Wins (surface) 43

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 0.658

288 Rank 100

22.5 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–6L · 64.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Toby Samuel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Toby Samuel

1st Serve In %

53.4%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.1%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

1.00

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

61.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

39.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.9%

43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Toby Samuel

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hynek Barton and Toby Samuel have never played each other.

Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel — Prediction