ATP tennis predict — Hynek Barton vs Tim Handel

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

81.99%

Tim Handel

Germany

18.01%

Average Odds

1.05 / 8.71

Market probability

89.24% / 10.76%

Why This Prediction?

Hynek Barton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1667 vs 1431), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1555 vs 1413) and a stronger serve (65.1% vs 58.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1666.9 Elo 1431.3

1555.2 Elo (surface) 1413.2

100 Wins (Challenger) 14

27 Wins (surface) 3

8 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.042 Dominance ratio 0.828

263 Rank 780

22.3 Age 29.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tim Handel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Tim Handel

1st Serve In %

53.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

1.00

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

38.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Tim Handel

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

47.0%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hynek Barton 1 – 0 Tim Handel

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Hynek Barton #263

Tim Handel #780

6-2 6-4

5 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

47 Service Points 53

34 First Serve In 36

28 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 5

0 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 8.7

Clay Szczecin CH · 2024-09-09

Q2

Hynek Barton #486

Tim Handel #465

6-2 7-6(4)

8 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

83 Service Points 62

58 First Serve In 35

41 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hynek Barton vs Tim Handel — Prediction