ATP tennis predict — Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

53.59%

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

46.41%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.30

Market probability

59.59% / 40.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1673.8 Elo 1629.3

1609.9 Elo (surface) 1645.7

105 Wins (Challenger) 40

29 Wins (surface) 12

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 0.737

283 Rank 301

22.5 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Petr Nesterov

1st Serve In %

53.4%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.1%

56.3%

Aces per Service Game

1.00

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.0%

44.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Petr Nesterov

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.8%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hynek Barton and Petr Nesterov have never played each other.

Hynek Barton vs Petr Nesterov — Prediction