ATP tennis predict — Hynek Barton vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

41.25%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

58.75%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.35

Market probability

60.41% / 39.59%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1724 vs 1689), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1689 vs 1641) and a stronger return game (44.5% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1688.8 Elo 1724.1

1641.1 Elo (surface) 1689.4

107 Wins (Challenger) 54

31 Wins (surface) 15

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 1.070

288 Rank 217

22.5 Age 19.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–6L · 64.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

34 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–4L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

53.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

1.00

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

62.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

46.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hynek Barton and Maxim Mrva have never played each other.

Hynek Barton vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction