ATP tennis predict — Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

66.37%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Belgium

33.63%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.45

Market probability

62.03% / 37.97%

Why This Prediction?

Hynek Barton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1679 vs 1538), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1676 vs 1532) and a stronger serve (70.0% vs 59.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1678.7 Elo 1538.1

1676.3 Elo (surface) 1531.9

98 Wins (Challenger) 20

71 Wins (surface) 18

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.104 Dominance ratio 1.047

249 Rank 205

22.3 Age 20.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1st Serve In %

53.4%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.1%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

1.00

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hynek Barton Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

76.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.2%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hynek Barton 0 – 0 Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-22

R16

Hynek Barton #249

Gilles Arnaud Bailly #205

6-3 6-2

4 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

48 Service Points 67

28 First Serve In 46

23 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hynek Barton vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Prediction