ATP tennis predict — Hyeon Chung vs Taisei Ichikawa

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:45

Predicted probability

Hyeon Chung

South Korea

45.49%

Taisei Ichikawa

Japan

54.51%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.82

Market probability

67.14% / 32.86%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1579.3 Elo 1586.5

1567.1 Elo (surface) 1587.1

109 Wins (Challenger) 21

104 Wins (surface) 21

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.081 Dominance ratio 0.924

575 Rank 781

30.2 Age 25.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hyeon Chung

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Taisei Ichikawa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hyeon Chung Taisei Ichikawa

1st Serve In %

54.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.17

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.63

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.6%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hyeon Chung Taisei Ichikawa

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

55.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.4%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hyeon Chung 0 – 0 Taisei Ichikawa

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Taisei Ichikawa #781

Hyeon Chung #575

7-5 6-4

2 Aces 8

12 Double Faults 3

86 Service Points 60

44 First Serve In 37

28 First Serve Won 27

18 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Hyeon Chung vs Taisei Ichikawa — Prediction