ATP tennis predict — Hunter Heck vs Mees Rottgering

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Hunter Heck

USA

18.87%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

81.13%

Average Odds

5.08 / 1.13

Market probability

18.20% / 81.80%

Why This Prediction?

Mees Rottgering is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1605 vs 1390), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1613 vs 1400) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1389.8 Elo 1604.8

1400.4 Elo (surface) 1612.9

0 Wins 3

0 Wins (surface) 2

0 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.926 Dominance ratio 0.926

730 Rank 418

24.3 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

50.0%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

89.5%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

68.4%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

45.8%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.8%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hunter Heck 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-22

qualification - round of 16

Mees Rottgering #418

Hunter Heck #730

6-1 6-0

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

42 Service Points 38

24 First Serve In 19

13 First Serve Won 17

4 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.1

Hunter Heck vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction