ATP tennis predict — Hunter Heck vs Matthew Dellavedova

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · QF 05:05

Predicted probability

Hunter Heck

USA

59.86%

Matthew Dellavedova

Australia

40.14%

Average Odds

2.80 / 1.40

Market probability

33.33% / 66.67%

Why This Prediction?

Hunter Heck is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1573 vs 1462), a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1470) and a stronger return game (38.7% vs 37.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1570.0 Elo 1470.2

1573.1 Elo (surface) 1461.6

9 Wins (Challenger) 36

9 Wins (surface) 16

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.882 Dominance ratio 0.984

700 Rank 268

24.3 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Matthew Dellavedova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Matthew Dellavedova

1st Serve In %

50.0%

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

89.5%

61.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

68.4%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

45.8%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.8%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Matthew Dellavedova

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

61.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hunter Heck 0 – 0 Matthew Dellavedova

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Hunter Heck #700

Matthew Dellavedova #268

6-4 6-2

0 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

27 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 1

10 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Hunter Heck vs Matthew Dellavedova — Prediction