ATP tennis predict — Hunter Heck vs Kenta Miyoshi

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Hunter Heck

USA

17.34%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

82.66%

Average Odds

3.79 / 1.24

Market probability

24.65% / 75.35%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1437), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1663 vs 1446) and a stronger serve (64.9% vs 56.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1437.0 Elo 1652.1

1446.4 Elo (surface) 1663.0

4 Wins (Challenger) 25

4 Wins (surface) 25

4 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.953 Dominance ratio 1.170

731 Rank -

24.2 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

50.0%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

89.5%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

68.4%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

45.8%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hunter Heck Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hunter Heck 0 – 1 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Kenta Miyoshi #-

Hunter Heck #731

6-2 6-4

1 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 0

64 Service Points 46

41 First Serve In 35

22 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 6

6 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Hard Champaign CH · 2023-11-13

R32

Kenta Miyoshi #1141

Hunter Heck #1032

6-3 6-4

11 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

65 Service Points 44

36 First Serve In 26

27 First Serve Won 18

17 Second Serve Won 10

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hunter Heck vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction