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Hugo Maia vs Javier Barranco Cosano — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Maia

Portugal

9.99%

Average Odds

10.55  /  1.03

Market probability

8.89%  /  91.11%

Why This Prediction?

Javier Barranco Cosano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1617 vs 1376), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1599 vs 1396) and more wins on clay courts (98 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1375.8 Elo 1617.0
1396.1 Elo (surface) 1598.6
1 Wins (Challenger) 123
0 Wins (surface) 98
1 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.579 Dominance ratio 1.023
1871 Rank 571
25.5 Age 27.9
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Maia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Maia Javier Barranco Cosano

1st Serve In %

—
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
51.2%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.6%
66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.0%
42.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%
37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.1%
53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.05
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Maia Javier Barranco Cosano

Break Points Saved %

—
61.5%

Break Points Converted %

—
44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%
56.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%
53.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Maia and Javier Barranco Cosano have never played each other.

Hugo Maia — Last 7

L L L L L W L

Javier Barranco Cosano — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W L