ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Thomas Faurel

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

76.00%

Thomas Faurel

France

24.00%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.48

Market probability

62.31% / 37.69%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Grenier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1652 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating (1657 vs 1529) and more wins on hard courts (182 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1657.4 Elo 1529.3

1652.0 Elo (surface) 1468.6

215 Wins (Challenger) 25

182 Wins (surface) 3

4 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.116 Dominance ratio 0.824

289 Rank 340

30.5 Age 20.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Thomas Faurel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Thomas Faurel

1st Serve In %

63.4%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

41.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Thomas Faurel

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

69.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

56.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 0 – 0 Thomas Faurel

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Thomas Faurel #340

Hugo Grenier #289

6-4 6-4

6 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 15

10 Break Points Saved 0

15 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Hugo Grenier vs Thomas Faurel — Prediction