ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

73.95%

Neil Oberleitner

Austria

26.05%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.01

Market probability

77.26% / 22.74%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Grenier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1641 vs 1482), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1648 vs 1492) and more wins on hard courts (180 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1640.8 Elo 1482.4

1647.9 Elo (surface) 1491.7

48 Wins 0

32 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 0.843

258 Rank 662

30.4 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Neil Oberleitner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner

1st Serve In %

63.4%

53.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

23.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

38.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

38.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Neil Oberleitner

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

20.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 0 – 0 Neil Oberleitner

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-22

qualification - round of 16

Hugo Grenier #258

Neil Oberleitner #662

6-4 6-1

8 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 6

43 Service Points 69

21 First Serve In 35

18 First Serve Won 21

15 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner — Prediction