ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgering

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - quarterfinal 19:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

48.72%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

51.28%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.67

Market probability

44.06% / 55.94%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1646.7 Elo 1618.2

1654.5 Elo (surface) 1628.4

49 Wins 4

33 Wins (surface) 3

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.998 Dominance ratio 0.829

258 Rank 418

30.4 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

63.4%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Mees Rottgering #418

Hugo Grenier #258

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 67

31 First Serve In 44

21 First Serve Won 31

18 Second Serve Won 12

10 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hugo Grenier vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction