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Hugo Grenier vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.39  /  1.47

Market probability

38.08%  /  61.92%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1741 vs 1644), a higher Elo rating (1734 vs 1651) and a stronger return game (43.6% vs 41.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1650.8 Elo 1734.0
1643.6 Elo (surface) 1741.4
216 Wins (Challenger) 80
183 Wins (surface) 52
4 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.116 Dominance ratio 1.145
284 Rank 228
30.5 Age 24.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

63.4%
58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%
46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.7%
60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%
51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

63.5%
56.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
43.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier and Inaki Montes De La Torre have never played each other.

Hugo Grenier — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L W

Inaki Montes De La Torre — Last 10

W L L W W W W L W W