ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Carl Emil Overbeck

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

66.00%

Carl Emil Overbeck

Denmark

34.00%

Average Odds

1.99 / 1.69

Market probability

45.92% / 54.08%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Grenier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1538), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1635 vs 1547) and more wins on hard courts (182 vs 20).

Player Comparison

1643.6 Elo 1537.7

1635.0 Elo (surface) 1546.9

215 Wins (Challenger) 20

182 Wins (surface) 20

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.116 Dominance ratio 1.064

284 Rank 290

30.5 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Carl Emil Overbeck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Carl Emil Overbeck

1st Serve In %

63.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.45

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Carl Emil Overbeck

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

48.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier and Carl Emil Overbeck have never played each other.

Hugo Grenier vs Carl Emil Overbeck — Prediction