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Hugo Grenier vs Billy Harris — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

52.51%

Billy Harris

Great Britain

47.49%

Average Odds

2.20  /  1.61

Market probability

42.26%  /  57.74%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1631.3 Elo 1611.7
1629.0 Elo (surface) 1616.5
213 Wins (Challenger) 119
180 Wins (surface) 85
4 Last 15 form 7
2 Head-to-head wins 1
1.058 Dominance ratio 1.058
243 Rank 161
30.5 Age 31.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Billy Harris

1st Serve In %

63.4%
60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%
64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%
27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%
58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%
76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%
51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%
52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Billy Harris

Break Points Saved %

63.5%
53.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%
36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%
64.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%
34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 21 Billy Harris

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07
7-5 6-3
6 Aces 4
5 Double Faults 3
61 Service Points 76
30 First Serve In 47
21 First Serve Won 34
11 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 7
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2
Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01
6-2 7-6
4 Aces 5
1 Double Faults 5
67 Service Points 65
42 First Serve In 35
34 First Serve Won 28
15 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9
Hard Alicante CH · 2023-10-02
6-3 6-4
6 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 3
56 Service Points 65
33 First Serve In 38
23 First Serve Won 21
11 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 2
4 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Les Franqueses Del Valles CH · 2023-03-19
3-6 6-1 7-6(3)
15 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 1
99 Service Points 92
58 First Serve In 55
44 First Serve Won 35
20 Second Serve Won 21
6 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Hugo Grenier — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L

Billy Harris — Last 10

W L L W L W W L W L