ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

23.29%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

76.71%

Average Odds

3.93 / 1.21

Market probability

23.54% / 76.46%

Why This Prediction?

Benjamin Bonzi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1897 vs 1641), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1846 vs 1631) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1640.9 Elo 1897.3

1630.8 Elo (surface) 1845.8

218 Wins (Challenger) 199

185 Wins (surface) 141

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.116 Dominance ratio 0.964

269 Rank 92

30.6 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

63.4%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.7%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.9%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 0 – 2 Benjamin Bonzi

Hard St. Tropez CH · 2021-08-30

SF

Benjamin Bonzi #94

Hugo Grenier #241

4-6 6-3 6-2

4 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 3

75 Service Points 87

34 First Serve In 55

27 First Serve Won 37

27 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 7

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lyon CH · 2019-06-10

Q1

Benjamin Bonzi #293

Hugo Grenier #422

5-7 6-3 6-4

3 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 2

96 Service Points 96

56 First Serve In 52

40 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 8