ATP tennis predict — Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillan

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Hugo Grenier

France

76.87%

Akira Santillan

Australia

23.13%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.30

Market probability

59.59% / 40.41%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Grenier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1668 vs 1512), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1682 vs 1520) and more wins on hard courts (180 vs 109).

Player Comparison

1668.4 Elo 1511.8

1681.5 Elo (surface) 1519.7

213 Wins (Challenger) 157

180 Wins (surface) 109

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.104 Dominance ratio 1.018

221 Rank 301

30.3 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Akira Santillan

1st Serve In %

63.4%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Grenier Akira Santillan

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

52.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Grenier 0 – 0 Akira Santillan

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Akira Santillan #301

Hugo Grenier #221

6-3 4-1

2 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

44 Service Points 41

28 First Serve In 23

15 First Serve Won 17

8 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillan — Prediction