ATP tennis predict — Hugo Gaston vs Guido Ivan Justo

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Gaston

France

86.70%

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

13.30%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.79

Market probability

83.79% / 16.21%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Gaston is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1714 vs 1444), a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1602) and more wins on hard courts (44 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1683.0 Elo 1601.6

1713.7 Elo (surface) 1444.2

90 Wins 0

44 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.247 Dominance ratio 0.483

88 Rank 229

25.9 Age 28.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Gaston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Gaston Guido Ivan Justo

1st Serve In %

54.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

52.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%

23.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.4%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Gaston Guido Ivan Justo

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

18.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Gaston 0 – 0 Guido Ivan Justo

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Hugo Gaston #88

Guido Ivan Justo #229

7-5 6-3

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 60

26 First Serve In 34

22 First Serve Won 19

17 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 7

17 Winners 14

13 Unforced Errors 19

1.1 Average Odds 5.8

Hugo Gaston vs Guido Ivan Justo — Prediction