ATP tennis predict — Hugo Gaston vs Andre Ilagan

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Hugo Gaston

France

54.66%

Andre Ilagan

USA

45.34%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.32

Market probability

60.26% / 39.74%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1692.2 Elo 1748.0

1719.3 Elo (surface) 1730.9

91 Wins 2

45 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.251 Dominance ratio 0.908

88 Rank 184

25.9 Age 25.8

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Gaston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Gaston Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

54.1%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.4%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Gaston Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

52.8%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

53.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Gaston 0 – 0 Andre Ilagan

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Hugo Gaston #88

Andre Ilagan #184

6-1 6-3

2 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 5

41 Service Points 54

19 First Serve In 31

16 First Serve Won 16

15 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 10

11 Winners 15

9 Unforced Errors 31

1.5 Average Odds 2.3

Hugo Gaston vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction