ATP tennis predict — Hugo Dellien vs Moez Echargui

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 00:20

Predicted probability

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

58.58%

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

41.42%

Average Odds

2.80 / 1.41

Market probability

33.49% / 66.51%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1498), a stronger return game (36.9% vs 35.1% of return points won) and a stronger serve (63.1% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1703.7 Elo 1497.7

1401.7 Elo (surface) 1513.9

95 Wins 14

13 Wins (surface) 7

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.058 Dominance ratio 0.797

140 Rank 225

33.2 Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Dellien Moez Echargui

1st Serve In %

66.5%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Dellien Moez Echargui

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.1%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Dellien 0 – 0 Moez Echargui

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 1. round

Hugo Dellien #140

Moez Echargui #225

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 57

35 First Serve In 40

24 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 4

12 Winners 10

22 Unforced Errors 13

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Hugo Dellien vs Moez Echargui — Prediction