ATP tennis predict — Hugo Dellien vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

65.33%

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Brazil

34.67%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.70

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1753 vs 1648), a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1607) and more wins on clay courts (261 vs 144).

Player Comparison

1708.5 Elo 1606.5

1753.0 Elo (surface) 1648.0

262 Wins (Challenger) 152

261 Wins (surface) 144

12 Last 15 form 10

5 Head-to-head wins 0

0.901 Dominance ratio 0.886

140 Rank 465

33.2 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Dellien Felipe Meligeni Alves

1st Serve In %

66.5%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.9%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hugo Dellien Felipe Meligeni Alves

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

30.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

43.1%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hugo Dellien 5 – 0 Felipe Meligeni Alves

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Hugo Dellien #140

Felipe Meligeni Alves #465

6-3 6-2

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

52 Service Points 59

38 First Serve In 43

29 First Serve Won 26

9 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Clay Montevideo CH · 2024-11-11

QF

Hugo Dellien #126

Felipe Meligeni Alves #166

6-1 6-1

6 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

39 Service Points 43

30 First Serve In 27

24 First Serve Won 10

7 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Buenos Aires 2 CH · 2024-09-30

R16

Hugo Dellien #108

Felipe Meligeni Alves #165

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 76

36 First Serve In 49

28 First Serve Won 31

11 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2021-10-18

R16

Hugo Dellien #128

Felipe Meligeni Alves #187

3-6 7-5 7-6(6)

0 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

123 Service Points 110

99 First Serve In 79

56 First Serve Won 49

13 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay San Marino CH · 2021-08-09

QF

Hugo Dellien #142

Felipe Meligeni Alves #206

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 0

62 Service Points 55

43 First Serve In 46

30 First Serve Won 22

12 Second Serve Won 5

7 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Concepcion CH · 2021-02-14

R32

Hugo Dellien #112

Felipe Meligeni Alves #235

6-0 7-6(7)

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

60 Service Points 74

39 First Serve In 44

27 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 9

8 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hugo Dellien vs Felipe Meligeni Alves — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Hugo Dellien — Last 10

Felipe Meligeni Alves — Last 10