ATP tennis predict — Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou

ATP Hard Shanghai · 3. round 07:30

Predicted probability

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

82.39%

Yi Zhou

China

17.61%

Average Odds

1.13 / 5.88

Market probability

83.88% / 16.12%

Why This Prediction?

Hubert Hurkacz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2070 vs 1692), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2003 vs 1651) and more wins on hard courts (183 vs 9).

Player Comparison

2069.7 Elo 1691.5

2002.9 Elo (surface) 1650.8

271 Wins 11

183 Wins (surface) 9

11 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.990 Dominance ratio 0.962

34 Rank 277

29.7 Age 21.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Yi Zhou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Yi Zhou

1st Serve In %

—

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Yi Zhou

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

67.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.6%

32.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz and Yi Zhou have never played each other.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou — Prediction