ATP tennis predict — Hubert Hurkacz vs Moez Echargui

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · SF 01:15

Predicted probability

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

85.45%

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

14.55%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.63

Market probability

85.88% / 14.12%

Why This Prediction?

Hubert Hurkacz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1842 vs 1501), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1811 vs 1520) and a stronger serve (67.3% vs 58.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1842.2 Elo 1501.1

1810.6 Elo (surface) 1519.8

104 Wins (Challenger) 94

66 Wins (surface) 45

11 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.147 Dominance ratio 0.875

69 Rank 197

29.5 Age 33.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Moez Echargui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Moez Echargui

1st Serve In %

61.0%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.2%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.80

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Moez Echargui

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz 0 – 0 Moez Echargui

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-23

SF

Hubert Hurkacz #69

Moez Echargui #197

6-3 6-4

12 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 65

36 First Serve In 35

32 First Serve Won 23

12 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.6

Hubert Hurkacz vs Moez Echargui — Prediction