ATP tennis predict — Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov

ATP Hard Beijing · QF 04:00

Predicted probability

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

53.14%

Karen Khachanov

Russia

46.86%

Average Odds

2.17 / 1.68

Market probability

43.64% / 56.36%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

2050.1 Elo 1999.5

1977.5 Elo (surface) 1937.6

268 Wins 349

180 Wins (surface) 224

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.990 Dominance ratio 0.970

41 Rank 26

29.6 Age 30.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–4L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Karen Khachanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Karen Khachanov

1st Serve In %

58.9%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.2%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.73

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

54.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Karen Khachanov

Break Points Saved %

60.7%

61.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%

46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

33.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz 0 – 1 Karen Khachanov

Hard Vienna · 2019-10-21

R32

Karen Khachanov #9

Hubert Hurkacz #35

6-4 7-6(3)

7 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

70 Service Points 84

45 First Serve In 47

29 First Serve Won 31

17 Second Serve Won 17

5 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov — Prediction