ATP tennis predict — Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

64.57%

Alejandro Tabilo

Chile

35.43%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.21

Market probability

57.11% / 42.89%

Why This Prediction?

Hubert Hurkacz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1811 vs 1765), a higher Elo rating (1836 vs 1801) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 63.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1835.8 Elo 1801.0

1810.8 Elo (surface) 1764.6

259 Wins 134

171 Wins (surface) 64

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.961 Dominance ratio 0.846

72 Rank 26

29.5 Age 29.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alejandro Tabilo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Alejandro Tabilo

1st Serve In %

61.0%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.2%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

20.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.80

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

76.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.7%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hubert Hurkacz Alejandro Tabilo

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

73.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.0%

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hubert Hurkacz 0 – 0 Alejandro Tabilo

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Hubert Hurkacz #72

Alejandro Tabilo #26

6-4 7-6

14 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 70

43 First Serve In 42

34 First Serve Won 28

14 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 7

25 Winners 15

36 Unforced Errors 35

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo — Prediction