ATP tennis predict — Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Alexandrescou

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Hernan Casanova

Argentina

70.84%

Yannick Alexandrescou

Romania

29.16%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.44

Market probability

61.93% / 38.07%

Why This Prediction?

Hernan Casanova is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1610 vs 1495), a higher Elo rating (1589 vs 1492) and more career match wins (120 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1588.6 Elo 1491.5

1610.4 Elo (surface) 1494.7

120 Wins (Challenger) 2

117 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.154 Dominance ratio 0.805

330 Rank 928

32.5 Age 18.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hernan Casanova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Yannick Alexandrescou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Yannick Alexandrescou

1st Serve In %

70.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

56.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.1%

67.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

60.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.6%

35.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Yannick Alexandrescou

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.9%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hernan Casanova 0 – 0 Yannick Alexandrescou

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Yannick Alexandrescou #928

Hernan Casanova #330

7-6 6-3

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

69 Service Points 64

54 First Serve In 46

25 First Serve Won 28

8 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 1

12 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Alexandrescou — Prediction