ATP tennis predict — Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Hernan Casanova

Argentina

45.25%

Juan Manuel La Serna

Argentina

54.75%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.71

Market probability

46.59% / 53.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1612.8 Elo 1661.4

1626.0 Elo (surface) 1669.3

123 Wins (Challenger) 46

120 Wins (surface) 44

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.144 Dominance ratio 0.855

411 Rank 285

32.7 Age 22.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hernan Casanova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Juan Manuel La Serna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Juan Manuel La Serna

1st Serve In %

70.1%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.9%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

20.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.8%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

43.0%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Juan Manuel La Serna

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.4%

27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hernan Casanova and Juan Manuel La Serna have never played each other.

Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna — Prediction