ATP tennis predict — Hernan Casanova vs Bernardo Munk Mesa

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - round of 16 15:00

Predicted probability

Hernan Casanova

Argentina

81.56%

Bernardo Munk Mesa

Spain

18.44%

Average Odds

1.33 / 3.09

Market probability

69.91% / 30.09%

Why This Prediction?

Hernan Casanova is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1627 vs 1551), a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1471) and more career match wins (121 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1615.3 Elo 1471.5

1626.8 Elo (surface) 1551.3

121 Wins (Challenger) 2

118 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.144 Dominance ratio 1.011

407 Rank 1190

32.7 Age 20.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hernan Casanova

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Bernardo Munk Mesa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Bernardo Munk Mesa

1st Serve In %

70.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

56.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.11

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.7%

68.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.8%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.1%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hernan Casanova Bernardo Munk Mesa

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.8%

42.1%

Break Points Converted %

48.5%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hernan Casanova and Bernardo Munk Mesa have never played each other.

Hernan Casanova vs Bernardo Munk Mesa — Prediction