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Henry Searle vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Henry Searle

Great Britain

59.80%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

40.20%

Average Odds

1.44  /  2.64

Market probability

64.71%  /  35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Searle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1562), a stronger serve (63.0% vs 58.2% of service points won) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 8).

Player Comparison

1731.6 Elo 1561.7
1579.9 Elo (surface) 1580.6
36 Wins (Challenger) 9
20 Wins (surface) 6
12 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.803 Dominance ratio 0.921
217 Rank 416
20.4 Age 19.1
left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henry Searle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Searle Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

61.5%
56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%
47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%
28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%
39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%
26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Searle Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

56.5%
62.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%
31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%
48.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%
32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henry Searle 00 Mees Rottgering

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-12
7-5 6-3
2 Aces 4
5 Double Faults 1
56 Service Points 61
42 First Serve In 40
28 First Serve Won 31
7 Second Serve Won 14
0 Break Points Saved 1
3 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Henry Searle — Last 10

W W L L L L W W W W

Mees Rottgering — Last 10

L W L W W W L W W W