ATP tennis predict — Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Henry Searle

Great Britain

36.59%

Liam Draxl

Canada

63.41%

Average Odds

2.29 / 1.50

Market probability

39.58% / 60.42%

Why This Prediction?

Liam Draxl is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1730 vs 1553), a stronger return game (42.6% vs 28.5% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1758 vs 1717).

Player Comparison

1717.3 Elo 1757.8

1552.6 Elo (surface) 1730.5

37 Wins (Challenger) 108

21 Wins (surface) 85

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.862 Dominance ratio 0.985

230 Rank 209

20.5 Age 24.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henry Searle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Liam Draxl

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Searle Liam Draxl

1st Serve In %

61.5%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Searle Liam Draxl

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%

41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.3%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henry Searle 0 – 0 Liam Draxl

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-23

R16

Henry Searle #230

Liam Draxl #209

7-6 2-6 6-4

13 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

44 First Serve Won 41

13 Second Serve Won 19

0 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.5

Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl — Prediction