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Henry Bernet vs Maximilian Neuchrist — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

80.20%

Maximilian Neuchrist

Austria

19.80%

Average Odds

1.10  /  6.17

Market probability

84.87%  /  15.13%

Why This Prediction?

Henry Bernet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1522), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1591 vs 1523) and more aces per game (0.33 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1707.4 Elo 1522.3
1591.4 Elo (surface) 1522.7
16 Wins (Challenger) 124
4 Wins (surface) 78
9 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.930 Dominance ratio 0.972
371 Rank 1024
19.7 Age 35.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Maximilian Neuchrist

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Bernet Maximilian Neuchrist

1st Serve In %

63.8%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%
70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%
23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%
43.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.68
0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.6%
62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%
72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%
57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%
23.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.8%
41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Bernet Maximilian Neuchrist

Break Points Saved %

64.2%
58.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.5%
32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.1%
51.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%
27.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henry Bernet and Maximilian Neuchrist have never played each other.

Henry Bernet — Last 10

L W W W L W L W L W

Maximilian Neuchrist — Last 10

L L L W L L L W L W