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Henry Bernet vs Dominic Stricker — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · R16 12:30

Predicted probability

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

35.98%

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

64.02%

Average Odds

2.28  /  1.58

Market probability

40.93%  /  59.07%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1687 vs 1493), a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1657) and more wins on hard courts (52 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1657.0 Elo 1766.9
1493.2 Elo (surface) 1686.7
14 Wins (Challenger) 89
2 Wins (surface) 52
9 Last 15 form 12
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.930 Dominance ratio 1.089
483 Rank 264
19.7 Age 24.1
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Bernet Dominic Stricker

1st Serve In %

63.8%
58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%
74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.0%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%
45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.68
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%
57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%
75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
57.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henry Bernet Dominic Stricker

Break Points Saved %

64.2%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.5%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%
51.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%
46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henry Bernet and Dominic Stricker have never played each other.

Henry Bernet — Last 10

W L W L W L W L L W

Dominic Stricker — Last 10

W L W W W W W L W W