ATP tennis predict — Henrique Rocha vs Seong Chan Hong

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 04:30

Predicted probability

Henrique Rocha

Portugal

56.21%

Seong Chan Hong

South Korea

43.79%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.54

Market probability

73.60% / 26.40%

Why This Prediction?

Henrique Rocha is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1579 vs 1535).

Player Comparison

1579.3 Elo 1534.7

1522.0 Elo (surface) 1564.0

80 Wins (Challenger) 78

21 Wins (surface) 73

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.105 Dominance ratio 1.228

126 Rank -

22.4 Age 29.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henrique Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Seong Chan Hong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Seong Chan Hong

1st Serve In %

61.2%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Seong Chan Hong

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

31.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

41.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henrique Rocha 0 – 0 Seong Chan Hong

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Henrique Rocha #126

Seong Chan Hong #-

6-4 6-1

3 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 5

61 Service Points 80

32 First Serve In 36

23 First Serve Won 20

14 Second Serve Won 16

10 Break Points Saved 10

12 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Henrique Rocha vs Seong Chan Hong — Prediction