ATP tennis predict — Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez

ATP Clay Estoril · 1. round

Predicted probability

Henrique Rocha

Portugal

47.58%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

52.42%

Average Odds

1.78 / 2.01

Market probability

53.03% / 46.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1593.4 Elo 1600.6

1677.6 Elo (surface) 1633.9

24 Wins 136

14 Wins (surface) 87

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.007 Dominance ratio 1.114

123 Rank 159

22.3 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henrique Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

61.2%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henrique Rocha 0 – 0 Pedro Martinez

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-20

1. round

Pedro Martinez #159

Henrique Rocha #123

7-5 7-5

5 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

88 Service Points 68

66 First Serve In 53

41 First Serve Won 39

12 Second Serve Won 9

11 Break Points Saved 1

14 Break Points Faced 2

29 Winners 19

43 Unforced Errors 25

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction