ATP tennis predict — Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmoh

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Henrique Rocha

Portugal

46.18%

Michael Mmoh

USA

53.82%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.19

Market probability

57.18% / 42.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1586.2 Elo 1642.4

1539.7 Elo (surface) 1686.3

25 Wins 77

9 Wins (surface) 62

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.954 Dominance ratio 0.926

119 Rank 173

22.4 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henrique Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Michael Mmoh

1st Serve In %

61.2%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.48

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Michael Mmoh

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.7%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henrique Rocha 0 – 0 Michael Mmoh

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Henrique Rocha #119

Michael Mmoh #173

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 9

53 Service Points 72

35 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 10

20 Winners 22

12 Unforced Errors 23

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmoh — Prediction