ATP tennis predict — Henrique Rocha vs Jerome Kym

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · SF 13:30

Predicted probability

Henrique Rocha

Portugal

46.90%

Jerome Kym

Switzerland

53.10%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.13

Market probability

56.20% / 43.80%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1808.7 Elo 1821.8

1736.4 Elo (surface) 1782.2

86 Wins (Challenger) 84

25 Wins (surface) 21

11 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.186 Dominance ratio 0.925

127 Rank 286

22.5 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henrique Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Jerome Kym

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Jerome Kym

1st Serve In %

61.2%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

78.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.97

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.3%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.5%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.9%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Jerome Kym

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

53.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henrique Rocha and Jerome Kym have never played each other.

Henrique Rocha vs Jerome Kym — Prediction