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Henrique Rocha vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · F 12:00

Predicted probability

Henrique Rocha

Portugal

58.97%

Average Odds

1.41  /  2.75

Market probability

66.11%  /  33.89%

Why This Prediction?

Henrique Rocha is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1824 vs 1785), a stronger serve (62.3% vs 51.6% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1823.7 Elo 1784.5
1762.4 Elo (surface) 1788.4
87 Wins (Challenger) 83
26 Wins (surface) 55
11 Last 15 form 12
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.186 Dominance ratio 1.145
127 Rank 228
22.5 Age 24.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henrique Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

61.2%
58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%
55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%
46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.0%
54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%
68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%
48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.3%
35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%
55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henrique Rocha Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

57.4%
56.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%
40.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
30.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henrique Rocha and Inaki Montes De La Torre have never played each other.

Henrique Rocha — Last 10

W W W W L W W L W L

Inaki Montes De La Torre — Last 10

W W W W L L W W W W