ATP tennis predict — Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Henri Squire

Germany

40.03%

Otto Virtanen

Finland

59.97%

Average Odds

2.60 / 1.46

Market probability

35.96% / 64.04%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1638), a stronger serve (66.0% vs 59.8% of service points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1637.7 Elo 1783.8

1642.6 Elo (surface) 1545.4

142 Wins (Challenger) 122

82 Wins (surface) 14

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.033 Dominance ratio 0.934

218 Rank 125

25.8 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Otto Virtanen

1st Serve In %

64.5%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.5%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Otto Virtanen

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henri Squire 0 – 1 Otto Virtanen

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Otto Virtanen #125

Henri Squire #218

5-2

1 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

26 Service Points 20

19 First Serve In 14

11 First Serve Won 11

3 Second Serve Won 3

2 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Bergamo CH · 2022-10-31

Q1

Otto Virtanen #265

Henri Squire #350

6-4 7-6(4)

14 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 6

67 Service Points 70

43 First Serve In 38

36 First Serve Won 28

12 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction