ATP tennis predict — Henri Squire vs Maxime Janvier

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Henri Squire

Germany

69.52%

Maxime Janvier

France

30.48%

Average Odds

1.26 / 2.33

Market probability

64.90% / 35.10%

Why This Prediction?

Henri Squire is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1663 vs 1514), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1613 vs 1564) and a stronger return game (45.5% vs 37.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1662.7 Elo 1514.1

1613.2 Elo (surface) 1564.3

145 Wins (Challenger) 242

57 Wins (surface) 138

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.189 Dominance ratio 0.893

238 Rank 625

26.0 Age 29.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Maxime Janvier

1st Serve In %

64.5%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.5%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Maxime Janvier

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

64.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henri Squire 0 – 0 Maxime Janvier

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Maxime Janvier #620

Henri Squire #239

3-6 6-4 6-4

12 Aces 16

16 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

51 First Serve Won 37

22 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 9

13 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Henri Squire vs Maxime Janvier — Prediction